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$111.70+0.85 (+0.77%)
Alibaba Group Holding Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides technology infrastructure and marketing reach to help merchants, brands, retailers, and other businesses in the People's Republic of China and internationally.
Alibaba Group Holding Limited in the Consumer Cyclical sector is trading at $111.70 with a market capitalization of $277.1B. Wall Street consensus targets $186.15 (39 analysts), implying a +66.6% move over the next 12 months. The stock is currently 39% below its 52-week high of $182.50, remaining 13.1% below its 200-day moving average. On fundamentals, Piotroski 2/9 flags weak fundamentals, Altman Z in the distress zone. The Whystock Score of 45/100 suggests a balanced risk-reward profile.
| Metric (USD) | Q2 2026 | Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $268.95B↑ | $243.38B↓ | $284.84B↑ | $247.79B | $247.65B |
| Gross Profit | $102.86B↑ | $83.99B↓ | $115.31B↑ | $97.01B↓ | $111.22B |
| Operating Income | $19.62B↑ | -$848.00M↓ | $20.16B↑ | $5.37B↓ | $34.99B |
| Net Income | $10.61B↓ | $25.54B↑ | $16.38B↓ | $21.02B↓ | $40.65B |
Alibaba Group Holding Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides technology infrastructure and marketing reach to help merchants, brands, retailers, and other businesses in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It operates through the ...
Academic risk and quality models computed from BABA's own filings and price history, not from analyst opinion.
Weak: only 2 of 9 fundamental-health tests pass, which is the range associated with deteriorating fundamentals.
Altman Z below 1.81, the financial-distress band. This measures balance-sheet stress, not share-price direction.
Beneish M below the -1.78 flag threshold, so the earnings-manipulation model finds nothing unusual in the accruals and margin trends.
Share of earnings coming from accruals rather than cash. Higher values historically precede weaker future returns.
Hidden Markov model fitted to two years of returns, separating bull, bear and sideways states by their own drift and volatility.
GARCH(1,1) 30-day annualised forecast, above the current 43.8% reading.
Fama-French 5-factor market beta. The five factors explain 16% of this stock's return variance; the rest is idiosyncratic.
The stock’s own historical valuation anchor, which is a fairer comparison than a sector average for a company with a persistent premium or discount.
Model inputs as of 2026-10-13.