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$30.07-0.27 (-0.91%)
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, owns and operates Chipotle Mexican Grill restaurants.
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. in the Consumer Cyclical sector is trading at $30.07 with a market capitalization of $46.8B. Wall Street consensus targets $43.76 (31 analysts), implying a +45.5% move over the next 12 months. The stock is currently near its 52-week low of $28.04, remaining 13.1% below its 200-day moving average. On fundamentals, Piotroski 6/9 shows mixed financial quality, Altman Z in the safe zone. Risk note: MACD remains below its signal line. The Whystock Score of 70/100 reflects bullish alignment across trend, valuation and analyst targets.
| Metric (USD) | Q2 2026 | Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $3.35B↑ | $3.09B↑ | $2.98B↓ | $3.00B↓ | $3.06B |
| Gross Profit | $844.57M↑ | $718.96M↑ | $698.77M↓ | $735.58M↓ | $838.23M |
| Operating Income | $555.77M↑ | $418.52M↓ | $445.73M↓ | $498.32M↓ | $575.13M |
| Net Income | $403.55M↑ | $302.82M↓ | $330.93M↓ | $382.10M↓ | $436.13M |
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, owns and operates Chipotle Mexican Grill restaurants. The company sells food and beverages, such as burritos, burrito bowls, quesadillas, tacos, and salads, as well as kids' meals, chips, ...
Academic risk and quality models computed from CMG's own filings and price history, not from analyst opinion.
Mixed: 6 of 9 fundamental-health tests pass, so profitability and balance-sheet trends disagree.
Altman Z above the 2.99 safe threshold, so the model puts bankruptcy risk in its lowest band.
Beneish M below the -1.78 flag threshold, so the earnings-manipulation model finds nothing unusual in the accruals and margin trends.
Share of earnings coming from accruals rather than cash. Higher values historically precede weaker future returns.
Hidden Markov model fitted to two years of returns, separating bull, bear and sideways states by their own drift and volatility.
GARCH(1,1) 30-day annualised forecast, above the current 44.4% reading.
Fama-French 5-factor market beta. The five factors explain 11% of this stock's return variance; the rest is idiosyncratic.
The stock’s own historical valuation anchor, which is a fairer comparison than a sector average for a company with a persistent premium or discount.
Model inputs as of 2026-10-13.