$222.88+2.60 (+1.18%)
The Progressive Corporation operates as an insurance company in the United States.
The Progressive Corporation in the Financial Services sector is trading at $222.88 with a market capitalization of $124.4B. Wall Street consensus targets $232.90 (21 analysts), implying a +4.5% move over the next 12 months. The stock is currently 7% below its 52-week high of $239.38, remaining 7.0% above its 200-day moving average. On fundamentals, Piotroski 5/9 shows mixed financial quality. The Whystock Score of 85/100 reflects bullish alignment across trend, valuation and analyst targets.
| Metric (USD) | Q2 2026 | Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $23.60B↑ | $22.18B↓ | $22.74B↑ | $22.50B↑ | $22.00B |
| Gross Profit | — | — | — | — | — |
| Operating Income | $4.30B↑ | $3.64B↓ | $3.75B↑ | $3.39B↓ | $4.05B |
| Net Income | $3.31B↑ | $2.82B↓ | $2.95B↑ | $2.62B↓ | $3.17B |
The Progressive Corporation operates as an insurance company in the United States. It writes insurance for personal autos and special lines products, including motorcycles, RVs, and watercraft; and personal residential property insurance for homeowne...
Academic risk and quality models computed from PGR's own filings and price history, not from analyst opinion.
Mixed: 5 of 9 fundamental-health tests pass, so profitability and balance-sheet trends disagree.
Altman Z in the 1.81 to 2.99 grey zone, the band where the model gives no clear bankruptcy verdict.
Beneish M below the -1.78 flag threshold, so the earnings-manipulation model finds nothing unusual in the accruals and margin trends.
Share of earnings coming from accruals rather than cash. Higher values historically precede weaker future returns.
GARCH(1,1) 30-day annualised forecast, above the current 25.1% reading.
Fama-French 5-factor market beta. The five factors explain 16% of this stock's return variance; the rest is idiosyncratic.
The stock’s own historical valuation anchor, which is a fairer comparison than a sector average for a company with a persistent premium or discount.
Model inputs as of 2026-10-13.