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$153.02-9.34 (-5.75%)
Vistra Corp., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated retail electricity and power generation company in the United States.
Vistra Corp. in the Utilities sector is trading at $153.02 with a market capitalization of $47.2B. Wall Street consensus targets $210.25 (20 analysts), implying a +37.4% move over the next 12 months. The stock is currently 30% below its 52-week high of $217.10, remaining 0.8% below its 200-day moving average. On fundamentals, Piotroski 4/9 shows mixed financial quality, Altman Z in the distress zone. The Whystock Score of 70/100 reflects bullish alignment across trend, valuation and analyst targets.
| Metric (USD) | Q2 2026 | Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $4.02B↓ | $5.64B↑ | $4.58B↓ | $4.97B↑ | $4.25B |
| Gross Profit | $1.39B↓ | $2.41B↑ | $1.55B↓ | $1.95B↑ | $1.54B |
| Operating Income | $553.00M↓ | $1.50B↑ | $629.00M↓ | $1.04B↑ | $583.00M |
| Net Income | $305.00M↓ | $1.03B↑ | $233.00M↓ | $652.00M↑ | $327.00M |
Vistra Corp., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated retail electricity and power generation company in the United States. The company operates through five segments: Retail, Texas, East, West, and Asset Closure. The company retail...
Academic risk and quality models computed from VST's own filings and price history, not from analyst opinion.
Mixed: 4 of 9 fundamental-health tests pass, so profitability and balance-sheet trends disagree.
Altman Z below 1.81, the financial-distress band. This measures balance-sheet stress, not share-price direction.
Beneish M below the -1.78 flag threshold, so the earnings-manipulation model finds nothing unusual in the accruals and margin trends.
Share of earnings coming from accruals rather than cash. Higher values historically precede weaker future returns.
Hidden Markov model fitted to two years of returns, separating bull, bear and sideways states by their own drift and volatility.
GARCH(1,1) 30-day annualised forecast, above the current 57.5% reading.
Fama-French 5-factor market beta. The five factors explain 18% of this stock's return variance; the rest is idiosyncratic.
The stock’s own historical valuation anchor, which is a fairer comparison than a sector average for a company with a persistent premium or discount.
Model inputs as of 2026-10-13.